Context and Diplomatic Setting
Indirect nuclear talks between the United States and Iran have begun anew in Oman, adhering chiefly to Iran’s conditions rather than Washington’s demands. These discussions occur under the shadow of a U.S. military buildup near the Middle East intended to raise pressure.
Protest suppression inside Iran has been severe, leading to thousands of deaths, yet internal unrest has recently quieted.
Iran’s Negotiating Approach
To navigate negotiations, Iran maintains strict red lines, including refusal to halt enrichment and insistence on sanctions relief. Nevertheless, creative adjustments include offers to cap enrichment at low levels and dilute more dangerous stockpiles.
These moves implicitly support expanded International Atomic Energy Agency inspections. Despite this, U.S. officials insist on zero enrichment, and sanctions relief remains a continuous point.
Regional Tensions and Security Concerns
Meanwhile, Israel warns that prolonged diplomacy might allow Iran to strengthen its military and nuclear infrastructure. Israeli leadership is punching for measures that could include strikes against Iran’s missile forces.
Iran has been rebuilding defenses and ballistic capabilities after past attacks damaged key facilities.
Internal Repression and Stability
Back home, the regime has quelled protest movements through force and mass arrests, especially targeting reformists. Underlying socioeconomic grievances persist, including economic hardship and lack of political voice. Yet raw suppression has temporarily restored order for the government.
Proxy Networks and Regional Influence
Iran’s network of allied militias has weakened following sustained conflicts and strikes. Groups like Hamas and Hezbollah are significantly degraded, reducing Tehran’s indirect leverage.
However, the Houthis in Yemen remain relatively robust and aligned with Iran. In Iraq, the U.S. is encouraging integration of Iran-aligned militias into official military structures.
Outlook and Challenges Ahead
Thus far, talks have made marginal concessions, but no major breakthrough has emerged. Both sides are now weighing next steps, with sanctions relief and enrichment limits unresolved. Meanwhile, threats of military action and regional security risks continue to shape diplomacy.
Source:
Takeyh, R. (2026, febrero 10). Iran regime attempts creative negotiating stance. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/articles/iran-regime-attempts-creative-negotiating-stance