Medio Oriente
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Have US-Iran talks failed? Why no deal yet doesn’t mean diplomacy is dead?
The US-Iran diplomacy is on declined. After negotiations made almost 3 weeks ago, before the US attacks on Israel, diplomacy was at its peak, having negotiations with a third party…
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UAE leaves OPEC and OPEC+
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has officially announced its withdrawn from both OPEC and the broader OPEC+ alliance, effective immediately taking place May 1st. This move signals a major strategic…
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How the War in the Middle East Is Affecting Energy, Trade, and Finance
The Middle East war impact on the global economy is being transmitted through three main channels: energy prices, supply chains, and financial markets. Although the shock is global, its effects…
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Breaking the Iran Stalemate
The Transition from Total Blockade to Reciprocal Access By late April 2026, the diplomatic landscape has transitioned from a period of unconditional demands to the exploration of a “functional compromise.”…
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The $71 Billion Recovery: Gaza’s Decade of Reconstruction
The Transition from Immediate Relief to Long-Term Structural Recovery By April 20, 2026, the international discourse on Gaza has transitioned from emergency humanitarian aid to the immense challenge of long-term…
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The Hormuz Standoff: Will the Fragile Ceasefire Hold?
The Transition from Escalation to a Precarious Tactical Pause By late April 2026, the maritime confrontation in the Persian Gulf has transitioned from active kinetic exchanges to a high-stakes tactical…
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Outcry Over Destruction of Religious Icon in Southern Lebanon
The Transition from Military Occupation to Cultural Confrontation By April 20, 2026, the military operations in Southern Lebanon have transitioned from a focused campaign against insurgent infrastructure to a broader,…
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Gulf Worries: US-Iran Talks and Tehran’s Golden Grip on Hormuz
From Security Assurance to Strategic Anxiety By late April 2026, the diplomatic climate in the Persian Gulf has transitioned from a demand for American protection to a deep-seated anxiety regarding…
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The Iran War Is Highlighting and Expanding
Council on Foreign Relations. The Iran War Is Highlighting—and Expanding—Authoritarian Collaboration The Iran war has brought renewed attention to the rise of authoritarian collaboration among global powers. This trend reflects…
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El FMI advierte de la amenaza de recesión mundial si la guerra se prolonga y el petróleo se encarece más
La economía mundial se encuentra en una situación frágil por la guerra entre Estados Unidos, Israel e Irán, que ha disparado los riesgos sobre los mercados energéticos y ha obligado…
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An ‘Open for Open’ Hormuz Deal Could Break the Iran Stalemate
Council on Foreign Relations. Expert Take The proposed Hormuz deal offers a potential path to ease tensions between the United States and Iran amid stalled negotiations. As both countries remain…
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“Vengeance for All”: Iran’s New Narrative for War
The Transition from State Propaganda to “Memetic Subversion” By April 2026, the Iranian messaging strategy has transitioned from dry, state-controlled press releases to a sophisticated campaign of Memetic Subversion. The…
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The Electrostate Era: China’s Strategic Leapfrog
The Transition from Oil Dependency to Electrical Sovereignty By mid-April 2026, the global energy landscape has transitioned from a crisis of supply to a crisis of Infrastructure Sovereignty. The CFR…
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Resilience Amidst Rupture: The Case Against Economic Complacency
The Transition from Strategic Shock to “Structural Anxiety” By mid-April 2026, the global economy has transitioned from the initial panic of the Iran war’s outbreak to a state of Structural…
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Was the Iran War Worth It?
The Transition from “Maximum Pressure” to “Irreversible Damage” By late April 2026, the United States has transitioned from a posture of containment to one of Systemic Degradation. The CFR analysis…
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The Ten-Day Pause: Fragile Stability in Lebanon
The Transition from “Total Attrition” to a Negotiated Interval By April 18, 2026, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has transitioned from the high-intensity “Operation Eternal Darkness” to a Formal…
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The Easy Win That Could Help Unlock the Strait of Hormuz
Council on Foreign Relations. Expert Take The article The Easy Win That Could Help Unlock the Strait of Hormuz by Sam Vigersky argues that establishing a humanitarian corridor Strait of…
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How the Iran War Confirmed, Contradicted, and Complicated U.S. Policy
The article How the Iran War Confirmed, Contradicted, and Complicated U.S. Policy by Elisa Ewers and Ariane Tabatabai examines how the recent conflict has tested long-standing assumptions behind Iran policy.…
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Lebanon in Flames: The EU’s Warning on Regional Contagion
The Transition from Diplomatic Hope to Humanitarian Alarm By April 13, 2026, the European Union has transitioned from supporting the fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire (Article #92) to sounding a public alarm…
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Diplomatic Friction and Asymmetric Escalation: The Gulf’s New Front
The Transition from Regional Neutrality to Active Hostility By mid-April 2026, the Persian Gulf has transitioned from a zone of “cautious neutrality” to an active theater of proxy warfare. The…
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Female Labor Force Participation in the Middle East and North Africa Region
World Bank discussion paper. Female Labor Force Participation in the Middle East and North Africa Region: Regional Trends and the Experience of Saudi Arabia Female Labor Force Participation in the…
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The Green Corridor Initiative: A Technical Key to the Hormuz Deadlock
The Transition from Military Escorts to Maritime Neutrality By mid-April 2026, the international community has transitioned from trying to “break” the Strait of Hormuz blockade through force to seeking a…
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The Islamabad Breakdown: Pakistan’s Race Against the Clock
The Transition from Diplomatic Hope to Negotiated Deadlock Following over 12 hours of face-to-face (indirect) negotiations in Islamabad, the United States and Iran have transitioned from a phase of “exploratory…
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The Total Blockade: Weaponizing the Global Commons
The Transition from “Targeted Strike” to “Total Siege” By mid-April 2026, the U.S. strategy has transitioned from a campaign of selective aerial bombardment to a full-scale naval blockade of the…
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The Islamabad Impasse: Red Lines and the Return to Hostilities
The Transition from Face-to-Face Diplomacy to “Red Line” Retrenchment By the morning of April 13, 2026, the first direct U.S.-Iran negotiations in over a decade have transitioned from a marathon…
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Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan Economic Update (April 2026)
World Bank. Challenges of Conflict and Industrial Policy for Development The chapter Challenges of Conflict and Industrial Policy for Development analyzes the complex economic environment of the Middle East, North…
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Can Supply Chains Survive the Iran War?
The Transition from Disruptive Skirmish to Systemic Collapse By April 2026, the global logistics network has transitioned from “Managing Risk” to “Managing Failure.” The report highlights that the cumulative effect…
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The Terminal Ultimatum: GZERO Analysis of the April 7 Deadline
The Transition from Deterrence to “Imminent Destruction” By April 2026, the U.S. strategy has transitioned from “Containment” to a policy of Forced Surrender. The GZERO report highlights that the current…
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Strategic Pause in the Iran War
The Transition from Imminent Strike to Coercive Diplomacy 2.0 In the final hours before the “Bridge Day” deadline (Article #87), the U.S. administration has transitioned from an active bombing posture…
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Kharg Island: The Fragile Lifeline of the Islamic Republic
The Transition from Economic Asset to Existential Liability By April 2026, Kharg Island has transitioned from being a symbol of Iran’s energy prowess to a primary target in the U.S.…